April 2026: Earth’s fourth-warmest April on record
• Fields of oilseed rape (also known as rapeseed) bloom near wind turbines in Rye, England, on April 16,
• The yellow crop is grown for a variety of uses including vegetable oil, animal feed, and biodiesel. (Photo by Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)
According to NCEI’s statistical analysis, there is about a 93% chance that 2026 will rank among the four warmest years on record. This statistics-based product is not yet designed to explicitly take El Niño or La Niña events into account, so with a global-atmosphere-warming El Niño event about to unfold, the odds may be higher still.
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