Check out the brand-new hurricane ‘cone of uncertainty’ graphics arriving this season
Check out the brand-new hurricane ‘cone of uncertainty’ graphics arriving this season
Global · Published May 29, 2026
People stand on the destroyed bridge to Pine Island, near Fort Myers, Florida, as they view damage from Hurricane Ian on October 2,
Ian's center tracked toward the right-hand edge of the "cone of uncertainty" from official forecasts, and damaging storm surge extended even farther south. (Image credit: AP File Photo/Gerald Herbert)

Since its debut in 2002, the cone has become what a University of Miami writer called “arguably [the center’s] most iconic graphic,” a mainstay of TV coverage and weather apps. Prior to the cone, hurricane maps simply showed a line depicting the official multi-day forecast for the storm center, as issued every six hours by NHC. Experts urged the public not to “focus on the skinny line,” keeping in mind that a hurricane’s path can easily deviate from the forecast track and that impacts will typically extend far beyond that center.

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